2018 Financial Review

The Money Pit of Eden 2

Eden2, which is my my largest asset, needed additional, completely unexpected injections of capital to complete the remediation project.  To finance the required payments, I tried to get ASB bank in New Zealand to increase the loans, but they refused, citing lack of income.

I had to borrow money in he USA using two different personal loans for $25,000 and $20,000. That was on top of draining my TD Ameritrade trading account for the earlier payment.

These loans were based on the assumption that the project would be finished in December 2018. As a result of a massive storm in July, the block where my unit is was extensively damaged when the waterproof covering came off right when they had the roofing all removed. As a result, all the drywall in the interior will have to be replaced, and the kitchen completely rebuilt. That delayed the completion for another six months. Because all my loans were based on it being completed by end of December, this means I'm running out of cash to pay the loans.

 As of the end of the year, I need to borrow another $20,000 using credit card low interest cash advances, to pay for yet another body corporate levy, and simply to maintain temporary cashflow of all the different loans. Loan payments and regular expenses now exceed my salary every single month, so there was no choice but to pay loan installments with even more loans.


Cashflow Crisis Point

After too much spending on the two major family trips in 2017 to New Zealand and Germany,  Orlando's trip to Greece and Italy, and lending Sylvia $10,000 to keep her business afloat, and all other reserves going to the Eden 2 money pit, I reached a total cash flow crisis in early 2018.

The end result was that my personal monthly cash-flow completely dried up 2018, leaving me barely being able to pay the loan repayments, mortgage, and other daily expenses.

My strategy since about October has been to simply stop paying down my Fidelity credit card, which I have been meticulously paying off each month. At the end of 2018 this meant the debt on that card was up to nearly $13,000.

The whole cash flow situation was tough as a desperately wanted two of my personal goals - finally getting a new mountain bike and a new paraglider. Both these goals had to be postponed due to the Eden2 delay. I also didn't feel comfortable going to either the Rat Race, or Chelan due to discomfort about drifting further into debt.

Sylvia's lack of financial contribution

Despite a busy year travelling for her business, getting paid $25,000 from her Uber settlement,  and making multiple trips to her parents, Sylvia made almost no contributions to our financial situation at all this year. She did commit to Orlando's fencing club fees each month.    She did manage to pay for the new dishwasher at the end of the year, and used funds from her parents for our German trip in November to see her parents.

However, she never paid any of her car payments, and her car needed new tires, starter motor and a cracked wheel replaced, which I had to put on my credit cards as all her credit cards are constantly maxed out.  She now owes me over $12,000 from all her unpaid loans,  owes probably $20,000 to Ali Craig and Clinton Swaine, and has credit card balances of another $15,000.

Stock Market Disaster

After the booming market in 2017, the first three months of 2018 seemed like a dream. In January I made more in my 401K than I did from my DXC salary, giving me the first ever experience of what it might actually feel like to have an income that isn't from a salary.  However over the summer the market starting to stagger, with a series of sharp drops. Instead of getting out completely with a few thousand of losses, I bought back in on each dip. The markets then collapsed, with me nearly 100% invested - the first time in years. At the end of 2018 my 401k was down 17% and my IRA and MAP plans similar amounts.

Long Term Equity Gains - but for how long?

The only bright part of 2018 financially was that Eden2 and Warmlands ave, as my two biggest assets, have both substantially increased in value. My valuation for Eden2 when it is finished at sold is $725,000 NZD, and Warmlands Ave is worth $750,000 USD.  That meant that despite the cash flow crisis, Sylvia's lack of financial contribution to our family, and the stock market crash, means our my net worth increased by $183,000. That is the biggest increase except for the massive $265,000 in 2016, where both the market and Warmlands ave increased substantially.

Risks and outlook for 2019

2019 will be six months of extremely tight money management, and then finally the sales process for Eden2. For the first time ever I mapped out six months of cashflow in order to ensure all the loan payments could be made.

This leaves little space for error in any account. However, Fidelity raised my Visa card limit to $23,000, probably because they see me not paying off the outstanding balance and are quite happy to keep me going further into debt.

Sylvia's business may finally turn around as a result of her new marketing and website. She signed a $24,000 contract with her CEO client in Puerto Rico in the first few weeks of the year.

Tax refund may provide some short term relief, and possibly I might spend some of that on one of my overdue personal goals of a new paraglider or mountain bike.

The big financial event of the year will be selling Eden2, which will hopefully occur in July. 


Observing Consciousness


Practice
Regarding The Villas at Vista Grande, what is the obstacle to it happening right now?

 - The obstacle is that I am waiting for Thad to come back with information about his financial backer has had an independent look at the project.

Is there a part of this obstacle that I can change?
- I can email Thad to ask if he has got anything back. DONE
- I can tell him I've been working on the figures. DONE
- I can commit to doing daily work in consciousness observing obstacles and seeing ways through them
- I can work on the file every day to add some more details.

Can I become Financially Independent investing the proceeds of Eden2

Strategy

  • Brainstorm how to uplevel my investing using Funds from Eden2
  • Evaluate whether Eden2
  • Create ideas in order to go into Christian Michaelson seminar and remove blocks ina  focused way

End Goal
  • Determine whether by using Eden2 funds, I could live off my investments (financial independence)
  • End goal definition is to create $10,000 a month income to replace my salaried job and benefits

Current Job and Benefits
$115,000 salary
$10,000 healthcare
$7,000 401K contribution

Quick Calculation
  • Current salary $11,000 a month before tax
  • Taxes $1500
  • 401K $1000
  • Healthcare $1500
  • Mortgage $2500
  • Loans $1000
  • Utilities $500
  • Visa Spending $2500
  • Payoff outstanding credit card debt $1000
  • Left for other saving

Current Assets
  • $350K equity in Warmlands Ave
  • $170 in 401K
  • $300K equity in Eden2
  • $40K in EDS NQ
  • $13 K in MAP

Possibilities for Income Generation
  • Encore investment property (high cashflow real estate)
  • Local property flipping
  • Options Trading (risk limited short term trading)
  • Forex Trading (leveraged day trading)
  • Mutual Fund trading like in 401K
  • Drive UberSUV with Mercedes GL450
Do I need short term income, medium term asset growth, or long term asset growth
  • With Eden2 sold, I actually don't have a short term cash problem
  • So investments could be longer term rather than just short term cash orientated (trading income)
  • How much cash do I need to be liquid?
Ideas
  •  Redo Online Trading Academy training in San Diego
  •  Christian Michaelson Abundance program - remove fears around abundance

How much income is required replace job income, plus keep growing investments, if income from capital is used to live on


Scenario 1:
How much real estate could I buy investing the whole $300,000
At 20% deposit, I could buy $1,500,000 of real estate.
Rent at $2000 for every $300000 or real estate.
That would mean $10,000 a month in revenue
The problem with real estate is that the expenses are a high proportion of the revenue
The real gains are through depreciation, taxable interest on loans and capital gains on the asset.
The only exception appears to be the holiday rental we investigated in Florida
Property flipping might represent another option.

Scenario 2:
Mutual Fund Trading
- On my 401K, trading $17,000 at a time, I'm making about $3000 at month
- I'm only using 50 - 70% of my available capital
- So investing the whole $300,000 of Eden2 proceeds, I would be trading $30,000 per trade
- 5% trade profit at $30,000k per trade is approx $1500 per trade
 - I would need four successful trades per month to create $6000 in income

Scenario 3
Florida Holiday Rental
- This seems to be the most cashflow positive scenario
-

What would be ideal mix?
- Get paid to manage the Villas at Vista Grande project
- Make $4000 a month trading mutual funds
- Make $4000 a month trading Forex or options
- Have time to develop NeuroYou
- Help Sylvia manage Becker-Hill Inc.

How much does family health insurance cost without a job?

Income Needs
  •  Need income that is free cashflow, as opposed to asset growth
Scenario 4
 - Simply live off the Eden 2 proceeds and see what happens

Scenario 5
 -

Income Possibilities in Next Five years
 - $500k Sylvia's inheritance (after taxes and costs)

eREIT- Real Estate Investment Funds
https://fundrise.com/investments/core-plans/supplemental-income/view-plan-variants


Encore at Reunion Resort

Lancaster III at Encore
 
Opportunity Type: Vacation Rental

Bland vacation houses but super efficent floorplan maximizes thenumber of bedrooms for to make them attractive for multi-family holidays. Close to Disney parks at south end of Orlando. Occupancy is hotel type as it is a vacation rental, but cashflow potential is great with nightly rates $500 - $700. 8 bedroom home for under $600K!Orlando gets 60 million visitors a year, rising to 100 million in the next decade. Constant growth market. The Lancaster III design was our favorite with huge Lanai and pool. All sites completely finished landscaping


2359 Elevardo Rd

2359 Elevardo $899,000 3331sq ft, 4 bed, 4 bath, 3 acres 

Opportunity Type: Up-leveled Home

Amazing site looking down into Cal la Vie. 5 minute windy drive up from Warmlands Ave. House is immaculate but bathrooms, kitchen and flooring are very dated. Spectacular entry. Potential for infinity pool overlooking Cal-la-Vie could be simply stunning. Would need $50,000 in updates plus pool. Landscaping is uninspiring and lots of potential for upgrades. House platform is about 1 acre and rest of property is steep natural chaparral.

Zillow



Arroyo Vista

Arroyo Vista, Murrieta

Opportunity Type: Rental - local market

Nicely designed and built townhomes in Murrieta. Typical commuter home for professionals. Significantly cheaper than over the hill in North San Diego county. Well priced at approx 350k with many extras included. Likely to all be sold by the time Eden2 is sold and I am ready to reinvest.