2018 Financial Review

The Money Pit of Eden 2

Eden2, which is my my largest asset, needed additional, completely unexpected injections of capital to complete the remediation project.  To finance the required payments, I tried to get ASB bank in New Zealand to increase the loans, but they refused, citing lack of income.

I had to borrow money in he USA using two different personal loans for $25,000 and $20,000. That was on top of draining my TD Ameritrade trading account for the earlier payment.

These loans were based on the assumption that the project would be finished in December 2018. As a result of a massive storm in July, the block where my unit is was extensively damaged when the waterproof covering came off right when they had the roofing all removed. As a result, all the drywall in the interior will have to be replaced, and the kitchen completely rebuilt. That delayed the completion for another six months. Because all my loans were based on it being completed by end of December, this means I'm running out of cash to pay the loans.

 As of the end of the year, I need to borrow another $20,000 using credit card low interest cash advances, to pay for yet another body corporate levy, and simply to maintain temporary cashflow of all the different loans. Loan payments and regular expenses now exceed my salary every single month, so there was no choice but to pay loan installments with even more loans.


Cashflow Crisis Point

After too much spending on the two major family trips in 2017 to New Zealand and Germany,  Orlando's trip to Greece and Italy, and lending Sylvia $10,000 to keep her business afloat, and all other reserves going to the Eden 2 money pit, I reached a total cash flow crisis in early 2018.

The end result was that my personal monthly cash-flow completely dried up 2018, leaving me barely being able to pay the loan repayments, mortgage, and other daily expenses.

My strategy since about October has been to simply stop paying down my Fidelity credit card, which I have been meticulously paying off each month. At the end of 2018 this meant the debt on that card was up to nearly $13,000.

The whole cash flow situation was tough as a desperately wanted two of my personal goals - finally getting a new mountain bike and a new paraglider. Both these goals had to be postponed due to the Eden2 delay. I also didn't feel comfortable going to either the Rat Race, or Chelan due to discomfort about drifting further into debt.

Sylvia's lack of financial contribution

Despite a busy year travelling for her business, getting paid $25,000 from her Uber settlement,  and making multiple trips to her parents, Sylvia made almost no contributions to our financial situation at all this year. She did commit to Orlando's fencing club fees each month.    She did manage to pay for the new dishwasher at the end of the year, and used funds from her parents for our German trip in November to see her parents.

However, she never paid any of her car payments, and her car needed new tires, starter motor and a cracked wheel replaced, which I had to put on my credit cards as all her credit cards are constantly maxed out.  She now owes me over $12,000 from all her unpaid loans,  owes probably $20,000 to Ali Craig and Clinton Swaine, and has credit card balances of another $15,000.

Stock Market Disaster

After the booming market in 2017, the first three months of 2018 seemed like a dream. In January I made more in my 401K than I did from my DXC salary, giving me the first ever experience of what it might actually feel like to have an income that isn't from a salary.  However over the summer the market starting to stagger, with a series of sharp drops. Instead of getting out completely with a few thousand of losses, I bought back in on each dip. The markets then collapsed, with me nearly 100% invested - the first time in years. At the end of 2018 my 401k was down 17% and my IRA and MAP plans similar amounts.

Long Term Equity Gains - but for how long?

The only bright part of 2018 financially was that Eden2 and Warmlands ave, as my two biggest assets, have both substantially increased in value. My valuation for Eden2 when it is finished at sold is $725,000 NZD, and Warmlands Ave is worth $750,000 USD.  That meant that despite the cash flow crisis, Sylvia's lack of financial contribution to our family, and the stock market crash, means our my net worth increased by $183,000. That is the biggest increase except for the massive $265,000 in 2016, where both the market and Warmlands ave increased substantially.

Risks and outlook for 2019

2019 will be six months of extremely tight money management, and then finally the sales process for Eden2. For the first time ever I mapped out six months of cashflow in order to ensure all the loan payments could be made.

This leaves little space for error in any account. However, Fidelity raised my Visa card limit to $23,000, probably because they see me not paying off the outstanding balance and are quite happy to keep me going further into debt.

Sylvia's business may finally turn around as a result of her new marketing and website. She signed a $24,000 contract with her CEO client in Puerto Rico in the first few weeks of the year.

Tax refund may provide some short term relief, and possibly I might spend some of that on one of my overdue personal goals of a new paraglider or mountain bike.

The big financial event of the year will be selling Eden2, which will hopefully occur in July. 


Observing Consciousness


Practice
Regarding The Villas at Vista Grande, what is the obstacle to it happening right now?

 - The obstacle is that I am waiting for Thad to come back with information about his financial backer has had an independent look at the project.

Is there a part of this obstacle that I can change?
- I can email Thad to ask if he has got anything back. DONE
- I can tell him I've been working on the figures. DONE
- I can commit to doing daily work in consciousness observing obstacles and seeing ways through them
- I can work on the file every day to add some more details.

Can I become Financially Independent investing the proceeds of Eden2

Strategy

  • Brainstorm how to uplevel my investing using Funds from Eden2
  • Evaluate whether Eden2
  • Create ideas in order to go into Christian Michaelson seminar and remove blocks ina  focused way

End Goal
  • Determine whether by using Eden2 funds, I could live off my investments (financial independence)
  • End goal definition is to create $10,000 a month income to replace my salaried job and benefits

Current Job and Benefits
$115,000 salary
$10,000 healthcare
$7,000 401K contribution

Quick Calculation
  • Current salary $11,000 a month before tax
  • Taxes $1500
  • 401K $1000
  • Healthcare $1500
  • Mortgage $2500
  • Loans $1000
  • Utilities $500
  • Visa Spending $2500
  • Payoff outstanding credit card debt $1000
  • Left for other saving

Current Assets
  • $350K equity in Warmlands Ave
  • $170 in 401K
  • $300K equity in Eden2
  • $40K in EDS NQ
  • $13 K in MAP

Possibilities for Income Generation
  • Encore investment property (high cashflow real estate)
  • Local property flipping
  • Options Trading (risk limited short term trading)
  • Forex Trading (leveraged day trading)
  • Mutual Fund trading like in 401K
  • Drive UberSUV with Mercedes GL450
Do I need short term income, medium term asset growth, or long term asset growth
  • With Eden2 sold, I actually don't have a short term cash problem
  • So investments could be longer term rather than just short term cash orientated (trading income)
  • How much cash do I need to be liquid?
Ideas
  •  Redo Online Trading Academy training in San Diego
  •  Christian Michaelson Abundance program - remove fears around abundance

How much income is required replace job income, plus keep growing investments, if income from capital is used to live on


Scenario 1:
How much real estate could I buy investing the whole $300,000
At 20% deposit, I could buy $1,500,000 of real estate.
Rent at $2000 for every $300000 or real estate.
That would mean $10,000 a month in revenue
The problem with real estate is that the expenses are a high proportion of the revenue
The real gains are through depreciation, taxable interest on loans and capital gains on the asset.
The only exception appears to be the holiday rental we investigated in Florida
Property flipping might represent another option.

Scenario 2:
Mutual Fund Trading
- On my 401K, trading $17,000 at a time, I'm making about $3000 at month
- I'm only using 50 - 70% of my available capital
- So investing the whole $300,000 of Eden2 proceeds, I would be trading $30,000 per trade
- 5% trade profit at $30,000k per trade is approx $1500 per trade
 - I would need four successful trades per month to create $6000 in income

Scenario 3
Florida Holiday Rental
- This seems to be the most cashflow positive scenario
-

What would be ideal mix?
- Get paid to manage the Villas at Vista Grande project
- Make $4000 a month trading mutual funds
- Make $4000 a month trading Forex or options
- Have time to develop NeuroYou
- Help Sylvia manage Becker-Hill Inc.

How much does family health insurance cost without a job?

Income Needs
  •  Need income that is free cashflow, as opposed to asset growth
Scenario 4
 - Simply live off the Eden 2 proceeds and see what happens

Scenario 5
 -

Income Possibilities in Next Five years
 - $500k Sylvia's inheritance (after taxes and costs)

eREIT- Real Estate Investment Funds
https://fundrise.com/investments/core-plans/supplemental-income/view-plan-variants


Encore at Reunion Resort

Lancaster III at Encore
 
Opportunity Type: Vacation Rental

Bland vacation houses but super efficent floorplan maximizes thenumber of bedrooms for to make them attractive for multi-family holidays. Close to Disney parks at south end of Orlando. Occupancy is hotel type as it is a vacation rental, but cashflow potential is great with nightly rates $500 - $700. 8 bedroom home for under $600K!Orlando gets 60 million visitors a year, rising to 100 million in the next decade. Constant growth market. The Lancaster III design was our favorite with huge Lanai and pool. All sites completely finished landscaping


2359 Elevardo Rd

2359 Elevardo $899,000 3331sq ft, 4 bed, 4 bath, 3 acres 

Opportunity Type: Up-leveled Home

Amazing site looking down into Cal la Vie. 5 minute windy drive up from Warmlands Ave. House is immaculate but bathrooms, kitchen and flooring are very dated. Spectacular entry. Potential for infinity pool overlooking Cal-la-Vie could be simply stunning. Would need $50,000 in updates plus pool. Landscaping is uninspiring and lots of potential for upgrades. House platform is about 1 acre and rest of property is steep natural chaparral.

Zillow



Arroyo Vista

Arroyo Vista, Murrieta

Opportunity Type: Rental - local market

Nicely designed and built townhomes in Murrieta. Typical commuter home for professionals. Significantly cheaper than over the hill in North San Diego county. Well priced at approx 350k with many extras included. Likely to all be sold by the time Eden2 is sold and I am ready to reinvest.
 



Cottages at St Cloud

Cottages at St Cloud, Oceanside

Opportunity Type: New Construction Rental, Local

High quality townhomes in the most upmarket part of Oceanside. Close to Oceanside technology park and best schools in oceanside.Carriage house design is spacious and stunning.



Vista Grande

What a creation! It started with me going on my weekly Couser Canyon ride. I bumped into That Hutton at the bottom of his driveway as I departed for my ride. He told me to drop by for a glass off wine on the way back, which I did. Three hours and two bottles of red later, we had solved the worlds problems and started to talk about the Vista Grande piece of land. I said it would be my dream to build amazing white contemporary houses on the hill and we started drunkenly brainstorming the possibilities of that.

Turns out Thad has been doing a lot more thinking about this than I expected, and was totally into my entire Mallorca Modern concept. We talked about the house values in our neighbourhood including the sale of 1.3 million and the new listing also for 1.3 million, how big the houses would need to be make economic sense.

His focus is on the ECO nature of the houses, with solar cells, battery options, passive solar heating and cooling, and orientation towards the amazing views.

Thad has very rich friends, the sort of people that could buy that piece of land and bankroll the entire build process without breaking a sweat. His big current client bought a 10 million dollar house in order to bull doze it and build a 20 million dollar house.... And that doesn't include his private polo estate in Montecito...

The next day Thad called his investor, the real estate agent and his friend John on the city council.

I would be the overall project manager, Thad would handle land sales and investor relations, and John would help get the city council approvals process through smoothly. We'd all get to choose the prime lots and the model homes could even become our personal properties.

The end result would be 24 3500 - 4500 ft ECO homes built in the Mallorca Modern style, valued at 1.1 - 1.5 million in about five years.  The total revenue from the home sales would be about 30 million.

Property Upleveling Discussion

Since coming back from Florida something shifted in my consciousness regarding the next step in our home.

What feels right:
  • 3500 sq ft executive level home in Vista
  • $900,000 price range

2359 Elevardo  $899,000 3331sq ft, 4 bed, 4 bath, 3 acres

Amazing site looking down into Cal la Vie. 5 minute windy drive up from Warmlands Ave. House is immaculate but bathrooms, kitchen and flooring are very dated. Spectacular entry. Potential for infinity pool overlooking Cal-la-Vie could be simply stunning. Would need $50,000 in updates plus pool. Landscaping is uninspiring and lots of potential for upgrades.
House platform is about 1 acre and rest of property is steep natural chaparral.


2409 Anderson Lane, Vista, 3478 sq ft, 4bed, 4.5 bath, landscaped back yard,

Single level executive home on flat terraced site. Extensive back yard with pegola and multiple sitting areas. Huge living and separate open plan dining and family. House orientation is poor for the site and entry . All bathrooms have own bath, but bathroom wing was a rabbit warren.


Options
1. Build your dream home
2. Use Warmlands Ave equity to sell and rebuy a larger home that needs upgrades
3. Use $100 - $150k of Eden2 proceeds to raise how much we can buy to approx. $900,000

Property Upleveling Scenarios


Option 1: Building Dream Home
  • Building my own home could be a practice run for my design ideas for Mallorca Modern.
  • How much would it cost to build a 4,000 ft home in Vista?
    $250,000 for the lot
    $600,000 to build
    $100,000 for pool and landscaping

Option 2: Sell and Buy
  • Primary goal is to sell and buy a house that is larger so has more potential for capital appreciation
  • Capital appreciation on Warmlands Ave at 7% = $4350 per month
  • Capital appreciation on $900K home at 7% = $5240

Option 3: Use proceeds from Eden 2 
  • $350,000 equity from Warmlands Ave
  • $150,000 from Eden 2
  • $400,000 mortgage





 

Property Upleveling Scenarios

Scenario 1 - Accelerated Home Equity Growth

Step 1: Upgrade Warmlands Ave
- New Master Bath
- New floor downstairs throughout
- Refinish kitchen cabinets
- New Exterior paint
- Replacement windows

Step 2: Sell Eden2
Sale price $625,000 NZD
Proceeds after expenses $275,000 USD


Step 3: Sell Warmlands Ave
- Sell for $850,000
 
Step 4: Purchase next level local property (example 2359 Elevado)
$900,000 purchase price
$350,000 cash from Warmlands Sale
$155,000 from Eden 2
$400,000 mortgage
Keep mortgage payments similar to now
$475,000 equity

Appreciation on a $900,000 home is approx $63,000 per year
Use remaining funds to upgrade new home to maximise appreciation
Million dollar home in 2 years rather than 5 years for Warmlands Ave
Mortgage tax deduction approx $7,000
Business use of the home approx $1500

$225,000 remaining in bank for investment or stock trading

Scenario 2 - Investment Only

Step 1: Sell Eden 2
Proceeds $250,000

Step 2: Buy Florida Resort Home at Encore
Close to Disney, golf, water park

$600,000 budget fully furnished 
$150,000 deposit
$450,000 mortgage

 
$500 per night rental
$3,500 per week
$180,000 per year
Occupancy 50% (seasonal)
$90,000 income per year
$5,000 per month free cash flow
Savings, mortgage paydown, reinvest, renovate Warmlands

Buy Arroyo Vista Condo in Murrieta
Commuter friendly affordable rental

$360,000 budget fully furnished 
$90,000 deposit
$270,000 mortgage
$2000 a month rental with fixed lease
$24,000 per year
Occupancy 95%

Scenario Three - Uplevel using Investment Cashflow

Step 1: Sell Eden 2
Proceeds $250,000

Step 2: Buy Florida Resort Home at Encore
Close to Disney, golf, water park

$600,000 budget fully furnished 
$150,000 deposit
$450,000 mortgage

 
$500 per night rental
$3,500 per week
$180,000 per year
Occupancy 50% (seasonal)
$90,000 income per year

Step 3: Renovate Warmlands to maximize sale price 
Direct investment cashflow into renovations

Step 4: Purchase next level local property (example 2359 Elevado)
$900,000 purchase price
$350,000 cash from Warmlands Sale
$50,000 remainder of cash from Eden 2 sale after Warmlands renovations
$450,000 mortgage
$450,000 equityUse cashflow from resort rental for higher mortgage payments
Use cashflow from resort rental for renovations and updates to increase value

Timeframe = 5 years

Scenario Four - Mallorca Modern Development

Step 1: Sell Eden 2
Proceeds $250,000

Step 2: Buy Florida Resort Home at Encore
Close to Disney, golf, water park

$600,000 budget fully furnished 
$150,000 deposit
$450,000 mortgage

 
$500 per night rental
$3,500 per week
$180,000 per year
Occupancy 50% (seasonal)
$90,000 income per year

Step 5:Build Mallorca Modern Home in Vista or Bonsall


Financial Progress Milestone - 401K Growth exceed income

In January my 401K and retirement growth exceeded my income for the first time ever!


Gains in 401k, IRA and MAP growth together totaled $8,723.

This was due to annual MAP matching, and gains from a sharp increase in the market. I sold 100% of my portfolio during the month of January as RSI figures were above 90 across the board, and every sale was profitable.

Just days later the market dropped over 10% in 5 trading days. If I had had not sold I would have ended up negative for the month, instead of exceeding my day job income.

Why was this important an important milestone?

This shows that it is possible to live in retirement from my 401K savings using active market timing to maximize efficiency of growth by actively avoiding market pullbacks, but also that it is possible to generate enough income from gains to live from.

Converting from a growth model to income model

If I increase my 401K through trading to $500,000, it should be more than possible in most months to withdraw $6,000 after tax per month of trading gains, without reducing the principal.

For example: At a balance of $500,000, following my current strategy of investing 10% of my capital per trade, my trades would be $50,000 each. This means a 1% trade is $500, 2% $1000 etc.

Many of my mutual fund swing trades yield 3% - 5% gains in between 30 - 60 days.

Closing 1 trade at 5% per month = $2,500
Closing 2 trades at 5% per month = $5,000
Closing 3 trades at 5% per month = $7,500

The beauty of my trading model is that it minimizes risk by minimizing market exposure by keeping trading duration short. It achieves growth by ratcheting up my overall balance with small profits on position sales, rather than relying on overall market gain.

It demands some discipline to take relatively small gains often. The philosophy is that it is better to be out of the market with a 5% gain, than holding a fund that gains five percent then drops again.




Trading Ideas

Insider Buy Superstocks: The Super Laws of How I Turned $46K into $6.8 Million (14,972%) in 28 Months

https://hackernoon.com/how-to-crush-the-crypto-market-quit-your-job-move-to-paradise-and-do-whatever-you-want-the-rest-27a4a3cc2bb1
 

Financial Planning 2018

Retirements Funds
401K
- 31 December 2018  - $200,000 - BEHIND SCHEDULE
- New 401k fund investments 10% of total fund balance
- Increases per trade increase
- Increase number of active investments
- Provides adequate diversification

IRA
 - 31 December 2018  - $25,000 - BEHIND SCHEDULE

MAP
 - 31 December 2018  - $20,000 - ON TRACK

Checking Account
$20,000 end of year balance - ON TRACK assuming Eden2 is sold

Net worth
Target $1,000.000 - ON TRACK
Target $170,000 Increase
Target increase of $14,000 per month

Personal Projects
- New mountain bike $3000 - ON HOLD until Eden2 sold
- New paraglider $4000 - ON HOLD until Eden2 sold
- Chelan $1500 - Cancelled
- Manila or Monarco Open $1500 - ON HOLD until Eden2 sold
Total for personal projects  $10000

House Projects
- Hero Payments start $3000
- Power sprayer for home painting jobs - doors, laundry
- Office $500  (flooring and new paint for walls)
- Master bath $5000 - ON HOLD until Eden2 sold
- Master Bath toilet - $600 COMPLETED
Total for House projects $10000

Sylvia 
-Payoff existing loan by March 1 - $5827  BEHIND SCHEDULE
No new loans required in 2018 

Eden2
- Refinance completed Jan 15 - COMPLETED
- Renovations completed June 15 - BEHIND SCHEDULE
- Sold by July 31

No Family German Summer Trip unless Sylvia funds the entire trip.